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Climate Type Changes That May Occur Due to The Global Climate Change in Kastamonu Province Findikli Plateau

Year 2021, Volume: 23 Issue: 1, 263 - 284, 15.04.2021
https://doi.org/10.24011/barofd.886267

Abstract

Climate is a very important factor for living things and ecosystems all over the world. It is known that the positive or negative impact of the climate on the world affects people directly or indirectly. In this process, determining the changes in climate parameters and climate types in advance is of great importance in terms of the measures that can be taken and being prepared for the process. In our study, RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) scenarios were based on RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios, which are generally used in academic studies. De Martone, Emberger and Lang climate classes were used, and according to these climate classes, climate types were evaluated for today, 2050 and 2100, and comparisons were made between them, so it was tried to predict how temperature, precipitation and how the climate would change in the process. In the study, it was tried to determine the changes of temperature, precipitation and the changes in climate according to different climate scenarios until 2050 and 2100 in Fındıklı plateau, which is one of the important cities of our country, Kastamonu province, Arac district. The results of the study show that the humid areas will decrease significantly and dry areas will occur in the study area from 2050 onwards.

References

  • Adiguzel, F., Cetin, M., Kaya, E., Simsek, M., Gungor, S., Sert, E. B. (2020). Defining suitable areas for bioclimatic comfort for landscape planning and landscape management in Hatay, Turkey. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 139(3-4), 1493-1503.
  • Akçakaya, A., Sümer, U. M., Demircan, M., Demir, Ö., Atay, H., Eskioğlu, O., Gürkan, H., Yazıcı, B., Kocatürk, A., Şensoy, S., Bölük, E., Arabacı, H., Açar, Y., Ekici, M., Yağan, S., Çukurçayır, F. (2015). Yeni Senaryolar ile Türkiye İklim Projeksiyonları ve İklim Değişikliği. Ankara: T.C. Orman ve Su İşleri Bakanlığı, Araştırma Dairesi Başkanlığı, Klimatoloji Şube Müdürlüğü, Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü Matbaası.
  • Akman, Y. (1990). İklim ve Biyoiklim (1. Basım). Ankara: Palme Yayınları.
  • Aricak, B., Cetin, M., Erdem, R., Sevik, H., Cometen, H. (2020). The usability of Scotch pine (Pinus sylvestris) as a biomonitor for traffic-originated heavy metal concentrations in Turkey. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 29(2)
  • Bouras, E., Jarlan, L., Khabba, S., Er-Raki, S., Dezetter, A., Sghir, F., Tramblay, Y. (2019). Assessing the impact of global climate changes on irrigated wheat yields and water requirements in a semi-arid environment of Morocco. Scientific reports, 9(1), 1-14.
  • Cantürk, Ö. (2020). Samsun Da Bazı İklim Parametreleri Ve Kuraklık Durumunun Küresel Isınmaya Bağlı Olarak Değişimi (Doctoral dissertation, KASTAMONU ÜNİVERSİTESİ).
  • Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Yigit, N., Ozel, H. B., Aricak, B., Varol, T. (2018). The variable of leaf micromorphogical characters on grown in distinct climate conditions in some landscape plants. Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 27(5), 3206-3211.
  • Cetin, M. (2020). The Changing of Important Factors in The Landscape Planning Occur Due to Global Climate Change in Temperature, Rain and Climate Types: A Case Study of Mersin City. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 8(12), 2695-2701.
  • Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Cobanoglu, O. (2020). Ca, Cu, and Li in washed and unwashed specimens of needles, bark, and branches of the blue spruce (Picea pungens) in the city of Ankara. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 1-10.
  • Clarke, H., Tran, B., Boer, M. M., Price, O., Kenny, B., Bradstock, R. (2019). Climate change effects on the frequency, seasonality and interannual variability of suitable prescribed burning weather conditions in south-eastern Australia. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 271, 148-157.
  • Dai, A., Zhao, T., Chen, J. (2018). Climate change and drought: A precipitation and evaporation perspective. Current Climate Change Reports, 4(3), 301-312.
  • Ertugrul, M., Ozel, H. B., Varol, T., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2019). Investigation of the relationship between burned areas and climate factors in large forest fires in thecanakkaleregion. Environmental monitoring and assessment, 191(12), 737.
  • Ertugrul, M., Varol, T., Ozel, H. B., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2021). Influence of climatic factor of changes in forest fire danger and fire season length in Turkey. Environmental monitoring and assessment, 193(1), 1-17.
  • Hrivnák, M., Paule, L., Krajmerová, D., Kulaç, Ş., Şevik, H., Turna, İ., Tvauri, I., Gömöry, D. (2017). Genetic variation in Tertiary relics: The case of eastern‐Mediterranean Abies (Pinaceae). Ecology and evolution, 7(23), 10018-10030.
  • Lee, M. H., Im, E. S., Bae, D. H. (2019). A comparative assessment of climate change impacts on drought over Korea based on multiple climate projections and multiple drought indices. Climate dynamics, 53(1-2), 389-404.
  • Mukherjee, S., Mishra, A., Trenberth, K. E. (2018). Climate change and drought: a perspective on drought indices. Current Climate Change Reports, 4(2), 145-163.
  • Ozel, H. B., Donduran, B., Cakmakli, E., Sevik, H. (2020). Factors affecting success in natural regeneration works of cedar (Cedrus libani A. Rich.) In Kas region of Antalya. World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, 6(2), 054-059.
  • Ozkazanc, N. K., Ozay, E., Ozel, H. B., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2019). The habitat, ecological life conditions, and usage characteristics of the otter (Lutra lutra L. 1758) in the Balikdami Wildlife Development Area. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 191(11), 645.
  • Öztürk, K. (2002). Küresel İklim Değişikliği ve Türkiyeye Olası Etkileri. Gazi Üniversitesi Gazi Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, 22(1).
  • Piao, S., Liu, Q., Chen, A., Janssens, I. A., Fu, Y., Dai, J., Zhu, X. (2019). Plant phenology and global climate change: Current progresses and challenges. Global change biology, 25(6), 1922-1940.
  • Sevik, H., Cetin, M., Ozturk, A., Yigit, N., Karakus, O. (2019b). Changes in micromorphological characters of Platanus orientalis L. leaves in Turkey. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 17(3), 5909-5921.
  • Şevik, H., Ertürk, N. (2015). Effects of drought stress on germination in fourteen provenances of Pinus brutia Ten. seeds in Turkey. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 3(5), 294-299.
  • Tahir, A., Qadir, M., Saif, R., Sattar, S., Tahir, S. (2019). Morphological and Yield Response of Pulses Against Drought Stress: A Review. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 7(2), 202-208.
  • Turan, E. S. (2018). Turkey’s Drought Status Associated with Climate Change. Artvin Çoruh University Natural Hazards Application and Research Center Journal of Natural Hazards and Environment. 4(1), 63-69, DOI: 10.213247/dacd.357384
  • Turkyilmaz, A., Sevik, H., Cetin, M. (2018a). The use of perennial needles as biomonitors for recently accumulated heavy metals. Landscape and Ecological Engineering, 14(1), 115-120.
  • Turkyilmaz, A., Sevik, H., Isinkaralar, K., Cetin, M. (2018b). Using Acer platanoides annual rings to monitor the amount of heavy metals accumulated in air. Environmental monitoring and assessment, 190(10), 578.
  • URL-1 (2020). http://www.arac.bel.tr/content/cografya-107
  • Vural, Ç. (2018). Küresel İklim Değişikliği ve Güvenlik. Güvenlik Bilimleri Dergisi, Mayıs 2018, 7 (1), 57 – 85
  • Yigit, N., Sevik, H., Cetin, M., Kaya, N. (2016). Determination of the effect of drought stress on the seed germination in some plant species. Water stress in plants, 43-62.
  • Yiğit, N., Çetin, M., Şevik, H. (2018). The change in some leaf micromorphological characters of Prunus laurocerasus L. species by their habitat. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 6(11), 1517-1521.
  • Zhou, Y., Hartemink, A. E., Shi, Z., Liang, Z., Lu, Y. (2019). Land use and climate change effects on soil organic carbon in North and Northeast China. Science of the Total Environment, 647, 1230-1238.

Kastamonu İli Fındıklı Yaylasında Küresel İklim Değişikliğine Bağlı Olarak Meydana Gelebilecek İklim Tipi Değişiklikleri

Year 2021, Volume: 23 Issue: 1, 263 - 284, 15.04.2021
https://doi.org/10.24011/barofd.886267

Abstract

Bütün dünyada canlılar ve ekosistemler için iklim çok önemli bir unsurdur. İklimin dünya üzerindeki olumlu veya olumsuz etkisinin insanları doğrudan veya dolaylı olarak etkilediği bilinmektedir. Bu süreçte iklim parametreleri ve iklim tiplerinde meydana gelecek değişikliklerin önceden belirlenmesiyle, alınabilecek tedbirler ve sürece hazırlıklı olunması bakımından büyük önem taşımaktadır. Çalışmamızda RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways –Temsili Konsantrasyon Yolu) senaryolarından, genellikle akademik çalışmalarda kullanılan RCP 4.5 ve RCP 8.5 senaryoları baz alınmıştır. De Martone, Emberger ve Lang iklim sınıfları kullanılmış ve bu iklim sınıflarına göre iklim tipleri günümüz, 2050 yılı ve 2100 yılı için değerlendirilmiş ve aralarında karşılaştırmalar yapılmış, böylece sıcaklık, yağış ve bunlara bağlı olarak iklimin süreç içerisinde nasıl değişeceği tahmin edilmeye çalışılmıştır. Çalışmada ülkemizin önemli şehirlerinden biri olan Kastamonu ili Araç ilçesine bağlı Fındıklı yaylasında 2050 ve 2100 yıllarına kadar, sıcaklık, yağış ve bunlara bağlı olarak iklimde meydana gelecek değişikliklerin farklı iklim senaryolarına göre değişimi belirlenmeye çalışılmıştır. Çalışma sonuçları, çalışmaya konu alanda 2050 yılından itibaren nemli alanların önemli ölçüde azalacağını ve kurak alanların oluşacağını göstermektedir.

References

  • Adiguzel, F., Cetin, M., Kaya, E., Simsek, M., Gungor, S., Sert, E. B. (2020). Defining suitable areas for bioclimatic comfort for landscape planning and landscape management in Hatay, Turkey. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 139(3-4), 1493-1503.
  • Akçakaya, A., Sümer, U. M., Demircan, M., Demir, Ö., Atay, H., Eskioğlu, O., Gürkan, H., Yazıcı, B., Kocatürk, A., Şensoy, S., Bölük, E., Arabacı, H., Açar, Y., Ekici, M., Yağan, S., Çukurçayır, F. (2015). Yeni Senaryolar ile Türkiye İklim Projeksiyonları ve İklim Değişikliği. Ankara: T.C. Orman ve Su İşleri Bakanlığı, Araştırma Dairesi Başkanlığı, Klimatoloji Şube Müdürlüğü, Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü Matbaası.
  • Akman, Y. (1990). İklim ve Biyoiklim (1. Basım). Ankara: Palme Yayınları.
  • Aricak, B., Cetin, M., Erdem, R., Sevik, H., Cometen, H. (2020). The usability of Scotch pine (Pinus sylvestris) as a biomonitor for traffic-originated heavy metal concentrations in Turkey. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 29(2)
  • Bouras, E., Jarlan, L., Khabba, S., Er-Raki, S., Dezetter, A., Sghir, F., Tramblay, Y. (2019). Assessing the impact of global climate changes on irrigated wheat yields and water requirements in a semi-arid environment of Morocco. Scientific reports, 9(1), 1-14.
  • Cantürk, Ö. (2020). Samsun Da Bazı İklim Parametreleri Ve Kuraklık Durumunun Küresel Isınmaya Bağlı Olarak Değişimi (Doctoral dissertation, KASTAMONU ÜNİVERSİTESİ).
  • Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Yigit, N., Ozel, H. B., Aricak, B., Varol, T. (2018). The variable of leaf micromorphogical characters on grown in distinct climate conditions in some landscape plants. Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 27(5), 3206-3211.
  • Cetin, M. (2020). The Changing of Important Factors in The Landscape Planning Occur Due to Global Climate Change in Temperature, Rain and Climate Types: A Case Study of Mersin City. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 8(12), 2695-2701.
  • Cetin, M., Sevik, H., Cobanoglu, O. (2020). Ca, Cu, and Li in washed and unwashed specimens of needles, bark, and branches of the blue spruce (Picea pungens) in the city of Ankara. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 1-10.
  • Clarke, H., Tran, B., Boer, M. M., Price, O., Kenny, B., Bradstock, R. (2019). Climate change effects on the frequency, seasonality and interannual variability of suitable prescribed burning weather conditions in south-eastern Australia. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 271, 148-157.
  • Dai, A., Zhao, T., Chen, J. (2018). Climate change and drought: A precipitation and evaporation perspective. Current Climate Change Reports, 4(3), 301-312.
  • Ertugrul, M., Ozel, H. B., Varol, T., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2019). Investigation of the relationship between burned areas and climate factors in large forest fires in thecanakkaleregion. Environmental monitoring and assessment, 191(12), 737.
  • Ertugrul, M., Varol, T., Ozel, H. B., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2021). Influence of climatic factor of changes in forest fire danger and fire season length in Turkey. Environmental monitoring and assessment, 193(1), 1-17.
  • Hrivnák, M., Paule, L., Krajmerová, D., Kulaç, Ş., Şevik, H., Turna, İ., Tvauri, I., Gömöry, D. (2017). Genetic variation in Tertiary relics: The case of eastern‐Mediterranean Abies (Pinaceae). Ecology and evolution, 7(23), 10018-10030.
  • Lee, M. H., Im, E. S., Bae, D. H. (2019). A comparative assessment of climate change impacts on drought over Korea based on multiple climate projections and multiple drought indices. Climate dynamics, 53(1-2), 389-404.
  • Mukherjee, S., Mishra, A., Trenberth, K. E. (2018). Climate change and drought: a perspective on drought indices. Current Climate Change Reports, 4(2), 145-163.
  • Ozel, H. B., Donduran, B., Cakmakli, E., Sevik, H. (2020). Factors affecting success in natural regeneration works of cedar (Cedrus libani A. Rich.) In Kas region of Antalya. World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, 6(2), 054-059.
  • Ozkazanc, N. K., Ozay, E., Ozel, H. B., Cetin, M., Sevik, H. (2019). The habitat, ecological life conditions, and usage characteristics of the otter (Lutra lutra L. 1758) in the Balikdami Wildlife Development Area. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 191(11), 645.
  • Öztürk, K. (2002). Küresel İklim Değişikliği ve Türkiyeye Olası Etkileri. Gazi Üniversitesi Gazi Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, 22(1).
  • Piao, S., Liu, Q., Chen, A., Janssens, I. A., Fu, Y., Dai, J., Zhu, X. (2019). Plant phenology and global climate change: Current progresses and challenges. Global change biology, 25(6), 1922-1940.
  • Sevik, H., Cetin, M., Ozturk, A., Yigit, N., Karakus, O. (2019b). Changes in micromorphological characters of Platanus orientalis L. leaves in Turkey. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 17(3), 5909-5921.
  • Şevik, H., Ertürk, N. (2015). Effects of drought stress on germination in fourteen provenances of Pinus brutia Ten. seeds in Turkey. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 3(5), 294-299.
  • Tahir, A., Qadir, M., Saif, R., Sattar, S., Tahir, S. (2019). Morphological and Yield Response of Pulses Against Drought Stress: A Review. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 7(2), 202-208.
  • Turan, E. S. (2018). Turkey’s Drought Status Associated with Climate Change. Artvin Çoruh University Natural Hazards Application and Research Center Journal of Natural Hazards and Environment. 4(1), 63-69, DOI: 10.213247/dacd.357384
  • Turkyilmaz, A., Sevik, H., Cetin, M. (2018a). The use of perennial needles as biomonitors for recently accumulated heavy metals. Landscape and Ecological Engineering, 14(1), 115-120.
  • Turkyilmaz, A., Sevik, H., Isinkaralar, K., Cetin, M. (2018b). Using Acer platanoides annual rings to monitor the amount of heavy metals accumulated in air. Environmental monitoring and assessment, 190(10), 578.
  • URL-1 (2020). http://www.arac.bel.tr/content/cografya-107
  • Vural, Ç. (2018). Küresel İklim Değişikliği ve Güvenlik. Güvenlik Bilimleri Dergisi, Mayıs 2018, 7 (1), 57 – 85
  • Yigit, N., Sevik, H., Cetin, M., Kaya, N. (2016). Determination of the effect of drought stress on the seed germination in some plant species. Water stress in plants, 43-62.
  • Yiğit, N., Çetin, M., Şevik, H. (2018). The change in some leaf micromorphological characters of Prunus laurocerasus L. species by their habitat. Turkish Journal of Agriculture-Food Science and Technology, 6(11), 1517-1521.
  • Zhou, Y., Hartemink, A. E., Shi, Z., Liang, Z., Lu, Y. (2019). Land use and climate change effects on soil organic carbon in North and Northeast China. Science of the Total Environment, 647, 1230-1238.
There are 31 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Forest Industry Engineering
Journal Section Biodiversity, Environmental Management and Policy, Sustainable Forestry
Authors

Ezgi Abacıoğlu This is me 0000-0002-0560-9697

Şahin Palta 0000-0002-0223-6215

Publication Date April 15, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 23 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Abacıoğlu, E., & Palta, Ş. (2021). Kastamonu İli Fındıklı Yaylasında Küresel İklim Değişikliğine Bağlı Olarak Meydana Gelebilecek İklim Tipi Değişiklikleri. Bartın Orman Fakültesi Dergisi, 23(1), 263-284. https://doi.org/10.24011/barofd.886267


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